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The collapse of Red Arab Regimes
Scritto da Vladimir Bukovsky   
Martedì 22 Marzo 2011 00:21

Vladimir BukovskijIl presidente generale dei Comitati per le Libertà paragona le rivolte nel mondo arabo a quelle che nel 1989 portarono al crollo dei regime comunisti. Ma i governi occidentali, impreparati al cambiamento, fanno mancare oggi come allora il loro sostegno alle rivoluzioni democratiche.

The world of Red Arab regimes (Arab Socialism, Islamic Socialism, Baathism, etc.) has now reached its own 1989. This is natural and has been inevitable - every socialist regime eventually reaches this point. What is tragic, though typical, is that while the Islamists and Red Arabs had been preparing for this moment for many years, the West has not prepared at all, and has no sensible policy to offer. We do not even know what forces are there on the ground and which of them we want to win.

What is likely to happen now is the worst scenario of all: Iran and others will support the Islamists, and if there are any democrats, nobody will support them. Eventually, there will be some sort of 'roundtable', where the regime and the Islamists will make some power-sharing deal, the West will welcome this as a guarantee of 'stability'. If there are any democrats, they will be sacrificed. Exactly as it happened in former communist countries after 1989.

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